top of page

What Is an Economic Impact Analysis and Why Your Project Needs One

  • Writer: Gary Marx
    Gary Marx
  • Mar 14
  • 5 min read

An economic impact analysis shows how your project reshapes the local economy in hard numbers. It connects your construction and operations spending to jobs, wages, business revenue, and regional value added. Using input-output models like IMPLAN or RIMS-II, it tracks direct, indirect, and induced effects as money flows through suppliers and households. You need it to compare “with vs. without project” futures and strengthen your case for funding, approvals, and community support, as the next sections explain.



Key Takeaways

  • An economic impact analysis estimates how a project changes a region’s jobs, wages, and business activity compared with a no-project baseline.

  • It traces direct spending, supplier responses, and household re-spending (direct, indirect, induced effects) to show the full ripple through the local economy.

  • Core metrics—output, value added/GRP, employment, and labor income—quantify how much new economic value your project creates locally.

  • Using tools like IMPLAN or RIMS-II, it provides transparent, scenario-based results that funders and regulators rely on for decisions.

  • Your project needs one to demonstrate community benefits, justify funding, support approvals, and avoid overstating or mischaracterizing its economic contribution.



What Economic Impact Analysis Really Tells You


Look past the headline spending numbers, and an economic impact analysis shows how a project actually reshapes a region’s economy through direct, indirect, and induced effects.

You see how construction and operations translate into wages and local purchases, how suppliers ramp up to meet that demand, and how workers spend their earnings back in the community.


The analysis tells you more than “how much you spend.”


It separates business output (what firms sell) from value added or GRP (the increase in local economic value through wages and profits).


It also quantifies jobs and labor income in a way that lets you compare “with project” versus “without project” futures, using structured tools like input‑output models to ground those scenario results in transparent economic relationships.



Key Metrics in Economic Impact Analysis


Once you understand what an economic impact analysis is really measuring, the next step is to focus on the specific numbers it produces and what they mean. These core metrics show whether your project simply circulates money or truly builds local wealth and incomes.


Look beyond total dollars to see if your project truly grows enduring local wealth and livelihoods

  1. Economic output (business revenue) – You’ll see how much total local sales rise from project spending on labor, materials, and services.

  2. Regional value added / GRP impact – You’ll measure the boost to gross regional product: local wages plus local business profits, not just revenue.

  3. Employment and labor income – You’ll track job counts alongside labor income, including women’s wages and salaries.

  4. Household earnings and job value – You’ll connect jobs to average annual earnings and see whether households actually become better off.



Direct, Indirect, and Induced Impacts in Economic Impact Analysis


Although economic impact analysis can seem technical, it really boils down to tracing how a single project sends money through the local economy in three distinct ways: direct, indirect, and induced impacts.


You start with direct impacts—the jobs, wages, and purchases your project generates through its own construction and operations, including payments to local suppliers.


Indirect impacts capture how those suppliers respond. When they ramp up production, they buy more inputs from other local firms, triggering supply-chain purchases that wouldn’t occur without your project.


Induced impacts reflect what households do with the income earned from both direct and indirect activities—spending on rent or mortgages, groceries, dining out, and services.

You typically estimate total impact as Direct + Indirect + Induced using I/O models like IMPLAN or RIMS-II.



When to Use Economic Impact Analysis (and Basic Steps)


When you’re deciding whether to commission an economic impact analysis, start by asking a simple question: is there real concern or curiosity about how a proposed project, event, or business will affect local jobs, wages, and overall economic activity compared with a “no-project” scenario? If the answer’s yes—from the public, funders, or key stakeholders—you’re in the right territory to use this tool.


In practice, you’ll follow a structured, repeatable process:

  1. Define the project scope and study-area boundaries.

  2. Quantify direct effects: local wages, supplier payments, and construction/operational spending.

  3. Apply suitable multipliers (e.g., IMPLAN, RIMS II) to estimate indirect and induced impacts, then sum totals.

  4. Select clear outputs (output/sales, value added/GRP, jobs or labor income) and test key assumptions with sensitivity checks.



How Economic Impact Analysis Supports Funding and Approvals


Beyond helping you understand “what might happen,” an economic impact analysis gives you hard numbers you can take into funding and approval processes.

You’re not just promising benefits; you’re showing how the project changes jobs, labor income, and business revenues versus a clear “no-project” scenario.


Demonstrate concrete gains in jobs, income, and business activity against a transparent, no-project baseline

For grants and public reviews, you can present transparent, scenario-based results: direct, indirect, and induced effects calculated with input‑output multipliers from tools like IMPLAN or RIMS‑II.


Instead of vague claims, you’ll quantify regional value added (GRP), total employment, and annual earnings.


Construction‑phase modeling can highlight near‑term workforce and sales impacts.


Because you can break results down by city, county, region, or state—and stress‑test key assumptions—funders and agencies can judge your project’s benefits with confidence.



Common Mistakes in Economic Impact Analyses (and How to Avoid Them)


Those same numbers that strengthen your funding case can also mislead reviewers if you build them on common errors. You need to design your analysis so it reflects how money, jobs, and income really move through your economy, not how you wish they did.


  1. Separate output from value added. Report both sales and GRP; don’t imply every dollar of revenue becomes local income.

  2. Apply multipliers only once. Use indirect and induced multipliers on direct spending, not on already-multiplied totals.

  3. Check local purchasing shares. Base “in-region” assumptions on real supplier locations to avoid inflated ripple effects.

  4. Use scenarios and sensitivity tests. Compare “with vs. without” cases and vary jobs, wages, and counts so funders see credible ranges, not a single fragile estimate.



Frequently Asked Questions



What Is the Economic Impact of a Project?


The economic impact of a project is the change it creates in your area’s economic activity compared to if it didn’t happen.


You’ll see this through direct effects (your project’s jobs and spending), indirect effects (your suppliers’ activity), and induced effects (workers’ household spending).


You typically measure it as changes in output, value added, jobs, and labor income, often using input‑output multipliers like IMPLAN or RIMS II.



What Is the Purpose of an Economic Analysis?


You use an economic analysis to test the theory that your project truly benefits the local economy.


You compare what happens if your project goes forward versus if it doesn’t.

You’ll quantify changes in output, jobs, income, and value added within a region.

 
 
 

Comments


bottom of page